IMD predicts normal rainfall, at 97% of LPA


New Delhi: For the third consecutive year, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Monday predicted normal monsoon rains for the country this year.

The southwest monsoon, the lifeline for millions of farmers across India, is expected to be normal in 2018, the IMD said.

Rains would be 97 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA), with a model error of plus or minus 5 per cent. Probability of normal to excess rains is 56% and that of below normal and deficit rain is 44%, the Met departments first forecast for 2018 revealed.

The IMD predicted 97 per cent chance of near-normal showers.

The IMD, which released its initial forecast for the four-month monsoon season, also said preliminary indications showed this year’s rains would evenly distributed.

Detailed forecasts on regional distribution will be made in early June, by when more information on El Niño and the IOD is available.

The IMD issues its first monsoon forecast in April and updates it in June.

The department, which used a combination of statistical and ocean-atmospheric models, said both showed rainfall this year would be normal.

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