Federer’s losses in tournament finals; A statistical analysis
Roger Federer by defeating Stefano Tsitsipas in the final of the 2019 Dubai Duty Free ATP 500 tournament notched up his 100th title win. It was the 152nd time that Roger was featuring in a final. While he has won 100 times, there are 52 instances of Federer reaching the final of a tournament and seeing his opponent coming up triumphant.
These 52 defeats in Finals have been inflicted upon Federer by 20 worthy opponents. Let us have a look at these champions.
There are only 6 tennis players who have defeated Federer more than once in an ATP Final. Not surprisingly, the leader of the pack is the great Rafa Nadal. Overall they have met as many as 38 times out of which 24 times has been in finals. Federer’s 10 wins are the maximum he has won against any player in finals. However, he has also lost to the great Spaniard as many as 14 times.
The 1st of such defeats to Nadal was in 2006 at Dubai and Nadal won three more times in 2006, at Monte Carlo, Rome and Roland Garros. Rafa won twice in 2007, 4 times in 2008 and once each in 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2013. The last time Rafa won in a final against Federer was at the Rome Masters of 2013.
Rafa at Number 1 among Federer’s conquerors was not surprising, and similarly not surprising is the name at number 2, which is none other than Novak Djokovic. The two great rivals have met 47 times with Novak having a 25-22 head-to-head lead. In finals, they have met 19 times with Roger winning just 6 times and Novak winning 13 Finals. Novak’s 1st win was in the 2007 Canada Masters. Novak then won once each in 2009, 2011 and 2012. He won thrice in 2014, as many as 5 times in 2015 and once in 2018 at the Cincinnati Masters. Significantly the last time Federer won against Novak in a Final was at the 2015 Cincinnati Masters.
Next is Juan Martin Del Potro who has defeated Roger 4 times in Finals, once each in 2009, 2012, 2013 and 2018. Overall they have met 25 times, and Federer has won 18 times. However, Del Potro has fared better in finals, winning 4 out of 6. These 4 wins came at the US Open, Indian Wells and twice at Basel. Federer has won once each at Rotterdam and Basel. Their last meeting was at the 2018 Indian Wells which Del Po won in a terrific match in a 3rd set tiebreaker.
Andy Murray is next with 3 wins, twice in 2010 and once in 2012. The two great rivals have met 25 times with Federer winning 14 and Andy winning 11. In Finals they have met 8 times. Andy’s triumphs were at the London Olympics in 2012, and at the Canada and Shanghai Masters in 2010. Federer’s 5 wins include one each at Wimbledon, US Open and Australian Open.
Two other players have won more than once against Federer in Finals. David Nalbandian won in 2005 at the Shanghai Masters and in 2007 at the Madrid Masters. He has once lost at Basel in 2008. Overall they have met 19 times with Federer winning 11 times. The next is Lleyton Hewitt who won at Halle in 2010 and at Brisbane in 2014. Federer has won three finals against him at US Open, Indian Wells and Houston. Overall Federer has won 18 of their 27 matches.
Apart from these 6 champions who have more than one win against Federer in Championship finals, there are 14 Champions who have won once each. These include his countrymen Stan Wawrinka and Marc Rosset, Frenchmen Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and Nicolas Escude and Germans Sascha Zverev and Tommy Haas. The only American to defeat him in a final is the great Andre Agassi at the 2002 Miami Masters. Federer too has won in two finals versus Agassi at the US Open and at the Houston Masters and overall has an 8-3 record against the great American.
Borna Coric (Croat), Milos Raonic ( Canadian), Jiri Novak ( Czech), Felix Mantilla ( Spaniard), Thomas Enqvist(Swede), Tim Henman ( Briton), Davide Sanguinetti ( Italian) also have a win each against Federer.
The stats behind his triumphs are more popular and well known. Hope you liked these stats behind his losses in tournament finals.
The blogger, Ritesh Misra, is an IRS Officer currently based in Mumbai. He tweets @riteshmisra. His hobbies are sports, films, and music.
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